Northwood long term care (LTC) has updated their COVID-19 figures today. As a result, I have updated the attached visual. It's important to remember, the LTC recoveries are a statistical estimate, as the data for the 10 facilities other than Northwood are not readily available. That's why you see fluctuations in the outside LTC recoveries as the LTC recoveries are estimated using a basic statistical model with Northwood data to estimate recoveries for the 44 LTC cases that are not in Northwood.
As it stands, todays estimate is 51 cases are active outside LTC. There may be a few more than that in reality if there are more recoveries in other LTC facilities than expected.